World Cup Qualification Match – Poland vs Lithuania Preview

Poland will be looking to bounce back from their recent struggles when they take on Lithuania in this international fixture. Given the significant gap in quality between the two sides, the White-Reds are strong favorites to secure a comfortable victory. With their recent home record in World Cup qualifiers and Lithuania’s defensive vulnerabilities, a Poland win with over 2.5 total goals seems highly likely.

Poland’s Motivation and Offensive Strength

Poland have endured a five-game winless streak (D1, L4) in all competitions, but this match presents them with the perfect opportunity to regain confidence. They have historically performed well in World Cup qualifiers at home, winning nine of their last 11 home qualifiers (D1, L1) and scoring 3+ goals in seven of those matches.

The return of Robert Lewandowski is crucial for Poland’s attack. The Barcelona striker, who recently found the net for his club, remains Poland’s all-time leading scorer with 84 international goals. With Sebastian Szymański, Jakub Moder, and Nicola Zalewski supporting him from midfield, Poland are well-equipped to dominate possession and create plenty of scoring chances.

However, Poland’s defensive frailties remain a concern. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 matches and have conceded 13 goals in their previous four games. While this suggests they may concede again, their firepower upfront should ensure a high-scoring victory.

Lithuania’s Struggles and Defensive Issues

Lithuania have been one of Europe’s weakest sides in recent years. They were relegated from Nations League C after finishing bottom of their group with six defeats in six matches. Their World Cup qualification history is equally unimpressive, winning just two of their last 18 World Cup qualifiers (D3, L13).

Defensively, Lithuania have been poor, conceding at least two goals in four of their last five matches and allowing 16 goals in their last six World Cup qualifiers. Their away form is equally dire, having lost seven of their last eight away World Cup qualifiers (D1)—each time without scoring.

While Fiodor Černych is a potential goal threat with six career goals in World Cup qualifiers, Lithuania’s overall lack of quality makes it unlikely they will cause an upset.

Poland vs Lithuania – Head-to-Head and Key Trends

Poland are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Lithuania (W2, D1). The last time they met (2018), Poland won 4-0, showcasing their dominance. Lithuania have lost their last seven matches in all competitions, highlighting their poor form.

Poland have scored 3+ goals in seven of their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers. Lithuania have conceded 2+ goals in five of their last six World Cup qualifiers.

Poland vs Lithuania Review – Final Verdict

Poland’s superior squad, attacking strength, and Lithuania’s defensive weaknesses make Poland to Win & Over 2.5 Goals the best prediction for an odd around 1.75 – 1.8 or bigger, if you find.. With Lewandowski leading the attack and Poland’s tendency to score heavily at home in World Cup qualifiers, a comfortable 3-0 or 4-1 victory is the most likely outcome.