Saturday’s final France Ligue 1 clash between second-placed Marseille and mid-table Rennes at the Stade Vélodrome is primed for goals and open play. With Marseille looking to secure a runners-up finish and Rennes aiming to end their season on a high, both sides are expected to approach this game with attacking intent. Marseille’s free-scoring home form, combined with Rennes’ unpredictable away displays, makes this fixture a strong candidate for Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals.
Olympique Marseille vs Rennes – Will Marseille Keep 2nd Place? – Game Preview, Key Stats, Betting Predictions.
Marseille’s Firepower and Home Form:
Roberto De Zerbi’s men have been prolific at home, where their Ligue 1 matches this season have averaged a league-high 3.63 goals per game. They’ve scored 17 goals in their last four home fixtures, including emphatic wins over Brest (4-1) and Montpellier (5-1).
With Champions League qualification already secured, Marseille now have second place in their sights, and motivation remains high to finish above Monaco. Star attackers Mason Greenwood (19 league goals) and Amine Gouiri (6 goals in last 3 matches) form one of the most in-form front lines in Ligue 1.
Rennes’ Attacking Potential and Leaky Defense:
Though Rennes have little at stake, they come into this game having beaten Nice 2-0, with Arnaud Kalimuendo scoring both goals to take his tally to 18 for the season. Rennes have netted 15 goals in their last 6 matches, showing they can consistently contribute to high-scoring contests.
However, their defensive record against top sides has been poor: they’ve lost 8 of their 9 away games against teams above them in the table, and they’ve conceded 3+ goals in recent trips to Lyon (4-1) and Marseille last season.
Rennes’ openness away from home, especially against quality opposition, makes it highly likely that Marseille will break through — but given Kalimuendo’s form and Marseille’s occasional lapses, the visitors are more than capable of finding the net as well.
Head-to-Head and Recent Trends:
- The reverse fixture ended 2-1 to Marseille, hitting both the BTTS and Over 2.5 thresholds.
- Marseille have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 9 home matches.
- Rennes have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 games, with BTTS landing in 4 of those.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these sides at the Vélodrome.
Key Stats Supporting the Prediction:
- Olympique Marseille: Ligue 1 home games average 3.63 goals; scored 70 goals this season — their highest since 1970–71.
- Rennes: Scored in 5 of their last 6 away games; Kalimuendo has scored 5 goals in the first 15 minutes of matches since February.
- BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 4 of Marseille’s last 5 home games.
Players to Watch in Olympique Marseille vs Rennes:
- Amine Gouiri (Marseille): Facing his former club, Gouiri has 6 goals in his last 3 Ligue 1 appearances and will be motivated to continue his hot streak.
- Arnaud Kalimuendo (Rennes): Rennes’ most potent weapon with 18 goals this season, and a threat particularly in the early stages of matches.
Olympique Marseille vs Rennes Match Preview Conclusion:
With Marseille’s potent attack and motivation to finish second, and Rennes playing with freedom and boasting an in-form striker, this match has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair with goals at both ends. Defensive frailties on both sides only increase the likelihood of a goal-heavy showdown.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals
