The Bundesliga‘s fiercest rivalry reignites as Bayern Munich host Borussia Dortmund in a high-stakes edition of Der Klassiker at the Allianz Arena. With Bayern leading the title race and Dortmund fighting to break into the European qualification spots, both teams are expected to approach this clash with attacking intent — setting the perfect backdrop for a prediction of Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals.
FC Bayern Munchen vs Borussia Dortmund – Game Preview, Key Stats, Betting Predictions.
Form & Motivation
Bayern Munich come into this game having scored three or more goals in 8 of their last 12 Bundesliga matches, and remain the most prolific side in the league with 81 goals in 28 games. Though their midweek 2-1 home loss to Inter Milan in the Champions League could be a slight confidence knock, their domestic dominance — especially at home — paints a more confident picture.
Despite suffering a handful of recent setbacks (W11, D2, L1 in their last 14 Bundesliga matches), Kompany’s side have kept their title charge rolling. Importantly, they’ve won 12 of their last 13 home league matches against teams ranked third or lower — a significant stat when considering Dortmund’s position.
Dortmund, on the other hand, are recovering from a 4-0 drubbing by Barcelona in midweek, but have scored seven goals in their last two Bundesliga matches (3-1 vs Mainz and 4-1 vs Freiburg). Their Bundesliga form has been lively (W4, L2 in last 6), and since Niko Kovač took over, BVB lead the league in shots and xG — clear indicators of a side creating plenty of chances.
Attacking Quality vs Defensive Issues
Bayern Munchen‘s firepower is unrivaled. With Harry Kane leading the line (7 goals since the winter break), supported by Gnabry, Müller, and Olise, the Bavarians are lethal going forward. Even with key absences like Musiala and Coman, they’ve shown the depth and tactical fluidity to break down most defences. However, their defence is makeshift, with injuries to Neuer, Upamecano, Davies, and Ito meaning players like Dier and Laimer will be filling in at the back — an area Dortmund can exploit.
Dortmund, meanwhile, are expected to line up with the in-form Serhou Guirassy at striker, who has netted 8 goals since the winter break, more than any other Bundesliga player. With support from Brandt, Adeyemi, and Bynoe-Gittens, they carry enough threat to breach Bayern’s weakened backline. However, defensively, they also have vulnerabilities — conceding six goals in their last three away games, and fielding a centre-back pairing of Can and Anton that lacks cohesion.
Key Stats & Trends
- Bayern’s last 5 Bundesliga matches: 3-1, 3-2, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1 → 4 out of 5 saw Over 2.5 Goals, and 3 saw BTTS.
- Dortmund’s last 5 Bundesliga matches: 4-1, 3-1, 0-2, 0-2, 2-1 → 3 out of 5 saw BTTS & Over 2.5.
- The last 5 Bundesliga H2Hs have averaged 3.6 goals per match, with BTTS landing in 4 of them.
- Guirassy and Kane are two of the Bundesliga’s top scorers in 2025 — both in form, and both typically scoring in the second half.
Tactical Setup & Game Flow
Expectations This clash is unlikely to be a cagey affair. With Bayern needing a result to keep Leverkusen at bay, and Dortmund desperately chasing European qualification, both sides will go forward with intent. Bayern’s home form and superior attack mean they’re favourites, but their injury-hit defence gives Dortmund a great chance to score — particularly on the counter or through set-pieces.
Given both teams’ attacking structures, early goals could open the game up, especially if Dortmund trail and push forward. And if recent history is anything to go by, Der Klassiker tends to deliver fireworks.
Bayern Munchen vs Borussia Dortmund – Preview Verdict
With elite goal-scorers on both sides, high xG figures, leaky defences, and motivation driving both teams, the data strongly supports a high-scoring contest where both teams find the net. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals.
